Incertidumbres del análisis dimensional de la inteligencia/ Uncertainty of dimensional analysis of intelligence

  • Claudio Augusto Payá Santos
  • Juan José Delgado Morán Universidad Nebrija
Palabras clave: incertidumbre y razonamiento, inteligencia militar, inteligencia, incertidumbre y razonamiento. Seguridad Multidimensional., sesgos cognitivos, seguridad


Debido a las características particulares del mundo en el que nos encontramos se hacen especialmente importantes los análisis de inteligencia. En el presente trabajo se discute cómo funciona la mente humana en los análisis de inteligencia, centrando el objetivo en la incertidumbre, las valoraciones de la prueba, los juicios bajo presión y las limitaciones de tiempo, analizando cómo la estructura de nuestra maquinaria mental influye y constriñe los análisis de inteligencia. Nos ocuparemos del funcionamiento de la mente humana, y qué limitaciones encuentra centrándonos en cómo estas características cognitivas afectan a los analistas de inteligencia, cuando no se basan en hechos sesgados; además del impacto que el tiempo y la presión tienen en la exactitud de los resultados.




Due to the particular characteristics of the world in which we find ourselves, intelligence analysis becomes especially important. This paper discusses how the human mind works in intelligence analysis, focusing on uncertainty, trial ratings, judgments under pressure and time constraints, analyzing how the structure of our mental machinery influences and constrict intelligence analysis. We will deal with the functioning of the human mind, and what limitations it finds by focusing on how these cognitive characteristics affect intelligence analysts when they are not based on biased facts; as well as the impact of time and pressure on the accuracy of results.


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Cómo citar
Payá Santos, C., & Delgado Morán, J. J. (2017). Incertidumbres del análisis dimensional de la inteligencia/ Uncertainty of dimensional analysis of intelligence. URVIO - Revista Latinoamericana De Estudios De Seguridad, (21), 225-239.