Prospective of rural-urban relations in the Andean countries: identification and analysis of key variables
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Abstract
Urban rural relationship have an increasingly important role in territorial dynamics and in the configuration of future scenarios. From territorial approaches, the need for approaches that go beyond reductionist approaches and analyze the multiple interactions that energize these relationships is underlined. From this perspective, the present investigation, based on participatory exercises with experts, identifies drivers or variables with the potential to influence the future of city-countryside relations, using a matrix of influences and dependencies. This research makes it possible to identify the role of fifty variables that affect country-city relationships and their categorization, based on the dependence and influence capacity of each variable compared to the other variables in this system. Likewise, a systemic analysis makes it possible to identify subnetworks or modularities in which the variables have a greater intensity of interactions. These knowledge inputs are the basis for the construction of prospective exercises with a larger scale of analysis, where analysis of actors that influence and mobilize the operation of the system can also be included, as a knowledge input for the construction of territorial planning processes.
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